Early project decision
Usually 3–5 working days when the question is whether the opportunity deserves more development or diligence.
Project finance · Africa
Financial models, project screening and lender-style analysis for developers, investors, lenders and advisers working on solar, storage and private-power opportunities across Africa.
Where I help
I focus on the questions that change whether a renewable energy project is commercially credible and financeable: revenue quality, tariff assumptions, CAPEX and OPEX, debt capacity, CFADS, cover ratios, reserve accounts, downside resilience and risk allocation.
The work is designed for live project teams that need a clear view before committing more development time, taking a case to management, approaching lenders or responding to investor questions.
Commercial fit
Project screen US$750–1,250 · model review US$1,500–3,500 · recurring support from US$2,500/month.
Usually 3–5 working days when the question is whether the opportunity deserves more development or diligence.
Usually 5–10 working days for model, debt, PPA and downside review around an approval or financing decision.
For developers, investors and advisers with several live workstreams and insufficient internal analyst capacity.
Public models, anonymised project cases and methodology show the work standard before private files are exchanged.
Core analysis
Scope is set around the decision you need to make.
Financial model
Revenue, CAPEX, OPEX, cash waterfall, investor returns and auditability.
Debt
CFADS, DSCR, LLCR, PLCR, tenor, repayment profile, covenant headroom and reserve accounts.
Contracts
Tariff structure, payment security, termination economics, curtailment and offtaker risk.
Downside
Yield, tariff, delays, CAPEX, operating costs, interest rates, FX and combined downside cases.
Decision
Translate model outputs and project risks into a concise management, IC or lender-ready decision note.
Development
Test the market, buyer, grid, commercial structure and missing information before deeper diligence.
Relevant proof
Public and anonymised examples from the portfolio.
Model and contract review covering PPA revenue, debt sizing, DSCR, reserves, repayment logic and downside cases.
View case →Investment analysis covering CAPEX, storage assumptions, debt capacity, DSCR and project returns.
View case →Commercial and bankability work covering tariffs, procurement, grid constraints, offtaker risk and financing structures.
View regional work →Typical clients
Related services
Choose the page closest to the assignment.
Revenue, debt, cash flow, storage assumptions and sensitivities.
Delivered power cost, network charges, buyer savings and generator returns.
Country, regulation, tariffs, grid, offtaker and project pipeline analysis.
Recurring models, research, memos, databases and client-ready analysis.
Questions
Yes. An NDA can be agreed before private models, contracts or diligence files are shared.
No. My role is financial, commercial and market analysis. Formal legal, tax and independent engineering opinions remain with the relevant advisers.
Both. Project screens and model reviews are usually fixed-scope assignments; recurring analyst capacity can be set up as a monthly engagement.
Next step
Send the project stage, decision, available files and deadline.