Project finance · Africa

Renewable energy project finance analysis across Africa.

Financial models, project screening and lender-style analysis for developers, investors, lenders and advisers working on solar, storage and private-power opportunities across Africa.

Where I help

Turn project information into a finance decision.

I focus on the questions that change whether a renewable energy project is commercially credible and financeable: revenue quality, tariff assumptions, CAPEX and OPEX, debt capacity, CFADS, cover ratios, reserve accounts, downside resilience and risk allocation.

The work is designed for live project teams that need a clear view before committing more development time, taking a case to management, approaching lenders or responding to investor questions.

Commercial fit

Choose the smallest scope that can change the decision.

Project screen US$750–1,250 · model review US$1,500–3,500 · recurring support from US$2,500/month.

Screen

Early project decision

Usually 3–5 working days when the question is whether the opportunity deserves more development or diligence.

Review

Live model or financing case

Usually 5–10 working days for model, debt, PPA and downside review around an approval or financing decision.

Capacity

Temporary analyst support

For developers, investors and advisers with several live workstreams and insufficient internal analyst capacity.

Proof

Inspect before engaging

Public models, anonymised project cases and methodology show the work standard before private files are exchanged.

Core analysis

What can be reviewed

Scope is set around the decision you need to make.

Financial model

Model logic and assumptions

Revenue, CAPEX, OPEX, cash waterfall, investor returns and auditability.

Debt

Debt sizing and coverage

CFADS, DSCR, LLCR, PLCR, tenor, repayment profile, covenant headroom and reserve accounts.

Contracts

PPA and payment risk

Tariff structure, payment security, termination economics, curtailment and offtaker risk.

Downside

Sensitivity and scenario testing

Yield, tariff, delays, CAPEX, operating costs, interest rates, FX and combined downside cases.

Decision

Investment or lender memo

Translate model outputs and project risks into a concise management, IC or lender-ready decision note.

Development

Early project screen

Test the market, buyer, grid, commercial structure and missing information before deeper diligence.

Relevant proof

Selected work

Public and anonymised examples from the portfolio.

Southern African solar IPP finance review

Model and contract review covering PPA revenue, debt sizing, DSCR, reserves, repayment logic and downside cases.

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Solar plus storage investment case

Investment analysis covering CAPEX, storage assumptions, debt capacity, DSCR and project returns.

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African project and market screening

Commercial and bankability work covering tariffs, procurement, grid constraints, offtaker risk and financing structures.

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Typical clients

Built for lean project teams.

  • Renewable energy and IPP developers preparing projects for funding or investment approval.
  • Infrastructure investors screening opportunities or testing sponsor assumptions.
  • Lenders and advisers needing additional modelling, market or diligence capacity.
  • Specialist firms needing confidential analyst support without permanent headcount.

Related services

Go deeper on the workstream

Choose the page closest to the assignment.

Questions

Before we start

Can you work with confidential project files?

Yes. An NDA can be agreed before private models, contracts or diligence files are shared.

Do you replace legal, tax or independent engineering advisers?

No. My role is financial, commercial and market analysis. Formal legal, tax and independent engineering opinions remain with the relevant advisers.

Can the work be one-off or ongoing?

Both. Project screens and model reviews are usually fixed-scope assignments; recurring analyst capacity can be set up as a monthly engagement.

Next step

Need a finance view on a live energy project?

Send the project stage, decision, available files and deadline.