Financial model
Model logic and assumptions
Revenue, CAPEX, OPEX, tax logic, working capital, cash waterfall, investor returns and auditability.
Project finance · Africa
Renewable energy project finance support across Africa.
Financial models, project screening and lender-style analysis for developers, investors, lenders and advisers working on solar, storage and private power opportunities.
Where I help
Turn project information into a finance decision.
I focus on the questions that change whether a renewable energy project is commercially credible and financeable: revenue quality, tariff assumptions, CAPEX and OPEX, debt capacity, cash available for debt service, cover ratios, reserve accounts, downside resilience and risk allocation.
The work is designed for live project teams that need a clear view before committing more development time, taking a case to management, approaching lenders or responding to investor questions.
Core analysis
What can be reviewed
Scope is set around the decision you need to make.
Debt
Debt sizing and coverage
CFADS, DSCR, LLCR, PLCR, tenor, repayment profile, covenant headroom and reserve accounts.
Contracts
PPA and payment risk
Tariff structure, indexation, payment security, termination economics, curtailment and offtaker risk.
Downside
Sensitivity and scenario testing
Yield, tariff, delays, CAPEX, operating costs, interest rates, FX and combined downside cases.
Decision
Investment or lender memo
Translate model outputs and project risks into a concise management, IC or lender-ready decision note.
Development
Early project screen
Test the market, buyer, grid, commercial structure and missing information before deeper diligence.
Relevant proof
Selected work
Public and anonymised examples from the portfolio.
58.5 MW Zambia solar project
Model and finance review covering PPA revenue, debt sizing, DSCR, reserves, repayment logic and downside cases.
Project costc. US$59m
FocusDebt and risk
120 MW solar + 6-hour BESS
Investment model covering US$184m CAPEX, storage assumptions, debt capacity, DSCR and project returns.
Project IRR10.37%
DSCR1.57x
African project and market screening
Commercial and bankability work covering tariffs, procurement, grid constraints, offtaker risk and realistic financing structures.
Reports30+
Pipeline exposurec. US$96m
Typical clients
Built for lean project teams.
- Renewable energy and IPP developers preparing projects for funding or investment approval.
- Infrastructure investors screening new opportunities or testing sponsor assumptions.
- Lenders and advisers needing additional modelling, market or diligence capacity.
- Energy platforms and specialist firms that need confidential analyst support without permanent headcount.
Related services
Go deeper on the workstream
Choose the page closest to the assignment.
Models
Solar & BESS financial modelling
Revenue, debt, cash flow, storage assumptions and sensitivities.
PPA
PPA & wheeling analysis
Delivered power cost, network charges, buyer savings and generator returns.
Markets
Market due diligence
Country, regulation, tariffs, grid, offtaker and project pipeline analysis.
Capacity
White-label analyst support
Recurring models, research, memos, databases and client-ready analysis.
Questions
Before we start
Can you work with confidential project files?
Yes. An NDA can be agreed before private models, contracts or diligence files are shared.
Do you replace legal, tax or independent engineering advisers?
No. My role is financial, commercial and market analysis. Formal legal, tax and independent engineering opinions remain with the relevant licensed or qualified advisers.
Can the work be one-off or ongoing?
Both. Project screens and model reviews are usually fixed-scope assignments; recurring analyst capacity can be set up as a monthly engagement.
Next step
Need a finance view on a live energy project?
Send the project stage, decision, available files and deadline.